Match Info
CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lugano - Qualification, hard - Semi-finalsDate: 22 February 2026, Sunday
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Francesco Forti |
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Federico Bondioli |
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- The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Francesco Forti 57.9% | Federico Bondioli 42.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Francesco Forti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Federico Bondioli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Forti than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Bondioli than the current prediction. (-2%)Francesco Forti - Federico Bondioli Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bondioli (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0 
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Preview
Forti is ranked ATP: 654. Bondioli is ranked ATP: 445.Forti has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).Bondioli is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Forti may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Forti might have a minor edge in this game. Recently, there has been no match between the players.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;