Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: TODI (ITALY), CLAY - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 17 August 2023, Thursday


	Francesco Maestrelli		Gabriel Debru

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.65	2.1
	1.64	2.23
	1.7	2.24
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.67	2.14	Watch
	1.66	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.63)	2.17 ↓ (2.22)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesco Maestrelli
56.7%

Gabriel Debru
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesco Maestrelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Gabriel Debru has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesco Maestrelli than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gabriel Debru than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.8%	0%	86.2%

Francesco Maestrelli - Gabriel Debru Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Maestrelli will win (votes: 4 - 13.8%). Debru will win (votes: 25 - 86.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Debru: 73.6% – 98.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Right away both players are in a satisfying form.

Debru could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Maestrelli won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesco Maestrelli
ATP Challenger
16.08.23	Francesco Maestrelli - Nino Serdarusic	2:1 ✺
14.08.23	Francesco Maestrelli - Giorgio Tabacco	2:0 ✺
09.08.23	Riccardo Bonadio - Francesco Maestrelli	2:0 ✺
08.08.23	Francesco Forti - Francesco Maestrelli	0:2 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
29.07.23	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Francesco Maestrelli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLWL
- Gabriel Debru
ATP Challenger
16.08.23	Gabriel Debru - Mathys Erhard	2:1 ✺
14.08.23	Gabriel Debru - Henri Squire	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.07.23	Gabriel Debru - Federico Arnaboldi	2:1 ✺
22.07.23	Gabriel Debru - Fausto Tabacco	2:0 ✺
21.07.23	Gabriel Debru - Alessandro Pecci	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWWWW

Francesco Maestrelli - Gabriel Debru: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide