Match Info

Date: 24 July 2022, Sunday


	Francesco Passaro		Zhizhen Zhang

	1	2
	1.8	1.9	Watch
	1.75	1.95
	1.78	2.02
	1.75	1.93
	1.78	2.09
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.7	2.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (2.08)	1.98 ↑ (1.75)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesco Passaro
52.8%

Zhizhen Zhang
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

54%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesco Passaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Francesco Passaro's performance.

Zhizhen Zhang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zhizhen Zhang might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesco Passaro than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Francesco Passaro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zhizhen Zhang than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zhizhen Zhang could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	0%	54.5%

Francesco Passaro - Zhizhen Zhang Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Passaro will win (votes: 10 - 45.5%). Zhang will win (votes: 12 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zhang: 33.7% – 75.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Passaro is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Zhang in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Zhang could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Passaro won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesco Passaro
ATP Challenger
23.07.22	Francesco Passaro - Francesco Maestrelli	2:0 ✺
22.07.22	Norbert Gombos - Francesco Passaro	1:2 ✺
20.07.22	Mattia Bellucci - Francesco Passaro	0:2 ✺
18.07.22	Francesco Passaro - Nikola Milojevic	2:0 ✺
09.07.22	Pedro Cachin - Francesco Passaro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWWL
- Zhizhen Zhang
ATP Challenger
23.07.22	Zhizhen Zhang - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
22.07.22	Zhizhen Zhang - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	2:1 ✺
21.07.22	Marco Cecchinato - Zhizhen Zhang	0:2 ✺
19.07.22	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Zhizhen Zhang	0:2 ✺
18.07.22	Zhizhen Zhang - Elliot Benchetrit	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
06.07.21	Francesco Passaro - Zhizhen Zhang	1:2

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