Match Info

Date: 12 October 2020, Monday


	Francis Tiafoe		Salvatore Caruso

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.6	2.2
	1.63	2.25	Watch
	1.6	2.15
	1.63	2.36
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.62	2.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.71)	2.23 ↑ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francis Tiafoe
58%

Salvatore Caruso
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francis Tiafoe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Salvatore Caruso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salvatore Caruso than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.7%	0%	18.3%

Francis Tiafoe - Salvatore Caruso Predictions

Users Predictions: Francis Tiafoe will win (58 of 71 users predict this - 81.69%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.69% – 90.69%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

In the last matches we may see a scene of defeats of two players.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Caruso won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francis Tiafoe
ATP Challenger
10.10.20	Francis Tiafoe - Federico Delbonis	2:1 ✺
09.10.20	Francis Tiafoe - Filippo Baldi	2:0 ✺
07.10.20	Francis Tiafoe - Lorenzo Musetti	2:1 ✺
06.10.20	Francis Tiafoe - Blaz Rola	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
28.09.20	Jan-Lennard Struff - Francis Tiafoe	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWWWL
- Salvatore Caruso
ATP Challenger
10.10.20	Salvatore Caruso - Alexei Popyrin	2:0 ✺
09.10.20	Salvatore Caruso - Laslo Djere	2:1 ✺
07.10.20	Salvatore Caruso - Tomas Machac	2:0 ✺
06.10.20	Salvatore Caruso - Hugo Grenier	2:1 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
28.09.20	Guido Pella - Salvatore Caruso	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roma
12.05.18	Francis Tiafoe - Salvatore Caruso	2:1

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