Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Porto, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 September 2026, Tuesday


	Francisca Jorge		Mia Pohankova

	1	2
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	2.95	1.36
	3	1.34	Watch
	2.92	1.37	Watch
	2.95	1.43
	3.26	1.34	Watch
	3	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (2.73)	1.36 ↓ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francisca Jorge
30.8%

Mia Pohankova
69.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

66.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

65.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francisca Jorge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Mia Pohankova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francisca Jorge than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mia Pohankova than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Francisca Jorge - Mia Pohankova Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Jorge will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Pohankova will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Jorge is ranked WTA: 219., and Pohankova is ranked WTA: 233..

Both players have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Jorge could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Pohankova carries the favorite tag into this contest.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francisca Jorge
ATP Challenger
18.09.26	Jeline Vandromme - Francisca Jorge	2:1 ✺
17.09.26	Francisca Jorge - Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva	2:1 ✺
15.09.26	Francisca Jorge - Xinyu Gao	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
11.09.26	Francisca Jorge - Anastasia Gasanova	0:2 ✺
10.09.26	Francisca Jorge - Katarina Kuzmova	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWWLW
- Mia Pohankova
ATP Challenger
19.09.26	Mia Pohankova - Gabriela Knutson	1:2 ✺
18.09.26	Mia Pohankova - Kylie Collins	2:0 ✺
16.09.26	Mia Pohankova - Matilde Jorge	2:0 ✺
14.09.26	Sinja Kraus - Mia Pohankova	0:2 ✺
25.08.26	Mia Pohankova - Katie Volynets	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWWWL

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