Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Caldas da Rainha, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 September 2026, Tuesday


	Francisca Jorge		Xinyu Gao

	1	2
	2.50	1.50	Watch
	2.65	1.45
	2.63	1.46
	2.67	1.49
	2.59	1.45	Watch
	2.65	1.46
	2.42	1.57	Watch
	2.49	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.46)	1.48 (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francisca Jorge
36.5%

Xinyu Gao
63.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

62.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francisca Jorge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Xinyu Gao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francisca Jorge than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xinyu Gao than the current prediction. (-3%)

Francisca Jorge - Xinyu Gao Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gao (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Jorge is ranked WTA: 232. Gao is ranked WTA: 230.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Jorge may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Gao might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Jorge won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francisca Jorge
ITF Tournaments
11.09.26	Francisca Jorge - Anastasia Gasanova	0:2 ✺
10.09.26	Francisca Jorge - Katarina Kuzmova	2:1 ✺
09.09.26	Francisca Jorge - Gabriella Da Silva Fick	2:1 ✺
03.09.26	Chelsea Fontenel - Francisca Jorge	2:1 ✺
02.09.26	Katarina Kuzmova - Francisca Jorge	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWWLW
- Xinyu Gao
ITF Tournaments
10.09.26	Sofia Johnson - Xinyu Gao	2:0 ✺
09.09.26	Elena Micic - Xinyu Gao	1:2 ✺
28.08.26	Barbora Palicova - Xinyu Gao	2:0 ✺
27.08.26	Ane Mintegi Del Olmo - Xinyu Gao	0:2 ✺
26.08.26	Zongyu Li - Xinyu Gao	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
19.07.23	Francisca Jorge - Xinyu Gao	1:2

Francisca Jorge - Xinyu Gao: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide