Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Oeiras (Portugal), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 April 2024, Thursday

Referee: Noble S. (Gbr)


	Francisca Jorge		Renata Zarazua

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.45	1.53
	2.5	1.48	Watch
	2.63	1.51
	2.63	1.51
	2.38	1.53
	2.53	1.49	Watch
	2.4	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.05)	1.51 ↓ (1.72)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francisca Jorge
37.8%

Renata Zarazua
62.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francisca Jorge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Francisca Jorge's form might have worsened.

Renata Zarazua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Renata Zarazua's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francisca Jorge than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Francisca Jorge, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Renata Zarazua than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Renata Zarazua, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Francisca Jorge - Renata Zarazua Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Jorge will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Zarazua will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Jorge could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Zarazua will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francisca Jorge
ATP Challenger
17.04.24	Francisca Jorge - Anastasia Zakharova	2:1 ✺
WTA Billie Jean King Cup Group I
13.04.24	Gergana Topalova - Francisca Jorge	0:2 ✺
11.04.24	Francisca Jorge - Ulrikke Eikeri	2:0 ✺
09.04.24	Zeynep Sonmez - Francisca Jorge	2:1 ✺
08.04.24	Jelena Ostapenko - Francisca Jorge	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWLL
- Renata Zarazua
ATP Challenger
16.04.24	Alycia Parks - Renata Zarazua	0:2 ✺
WTA Bogota
03.04.24	Renata Zarazua - Kamilla Rakhimova	1:2 ✺
01.04.24	Renata Zarazua - Mariana Isabel Higuita Barraza	2:0 ✺
WTA Miami
17.03.24	Katie Volynets - Renata Zarazua	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.03.24	Martina Trevisan - Renata Zarazua	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLWLL

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