Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Caserta, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 4 June 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Caserta 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Gabriela Ce		Federica Urgesi

	1	2
			Watch
	2.58	1.44
	3.24	1.35
	3.12	1.31	Watch
	2.9	1.33
	3.05	1.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↑ (2.58)	1.35 ↓ (1.43)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gabriela Ce
31.2%

Federica Urgesi
68.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.7%

64.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

62.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gabriela Ce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Federica Urgesi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gabriela Ce than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gabriela Ce, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federica Urgesi than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Federica Urgesi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Gabriela Ce - Federica Urgesi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ce is ranked WTA: 351. Urgesi is ranked WTA: 356.

Recent form of Ce has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Urgesi has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ce may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Urgesi will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ce won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gabriela Ce
ITF Tournaments
03.06.26	Noemi Basiletti - Gabriela Ce	1:2 ✺
29.05.26	Aurora Zantedeschi - Gabriela Ce	2:0 ✺
28.05.26	Tena Lukas - Gabriela Ce	Lukas T. Retired ✺
26.05.26	Lea Boskovic - Gabriela Ce	Boskovic L. Retired ✺
20.05.26	Gabriela Ce - Julie Struplova	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WL??L
- Federica Urgesi
ITF Tournaments
02.06.26	Federica Urgesi - Vivian Wolff	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.05.26	Federica Urgesi - Viktorija Golubic	0:2 ✺
11.05.26	Federica Urgesi - Maja Chwalinska	Chwalinska M. Retired ✺
WTA Roma
06.05.26	Viktorija Golubic - Federica Urgesi	2:0 ✺
05.05.26	Federica Urgesi - Veronika Erjavec	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WL?LW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
03.07.25	Gabriela Ce - Federica Urgesi	2:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gabriela Ce
ATP Challenger
28.10.26	Gabriela Ce - Solana Sierra	✺
- Federica Urgesi
ITF Tournaments
29.10.26	Federica Urgesi - Isis Louise Van den Broek	✺
28.10.26	Federica Urgesi - Ann Akasha Ceuca	✺

Gabriela Ce - Federica Urgesi