Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Trieste, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 26 August 2026, Wednesday


	Gabriela Ce		Matilde Paoletti

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.84	1.84	Watch
	2.42	1.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (1.84)	1.66 ↓ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gabriela Ce
43.8%

Matilde Paoletti
56.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gabriela Ce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gabriela Ce's form might have worsened.

Matilde Paoletti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Matilde Paoletti's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gabriela Ce than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gabriela Ce, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matilde Paoletti than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matilde Paoletti, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Ce is ranked WTA: 330. Paoletti is ranked WTA: 879.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Ce may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ce won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Gabriela Ce - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gabriela Ce
ITF Tournaments
24.08.26	Gabriela Ce - Galatea Ferro	Ferro G. Retired ✺
18.08.26	Katarina Zavatska - Gabriela Ce	2:0 ✺
04.08.26	Ane Mintegi Del Olmo - Gabriela Ce	2:0 ✺
30.07.26	Gabriela Ce - Jenny Lim	1:2 ✺
28.07.26	Gabriela Ce - Sofia Shapatava	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 ?LLLW
- Matilde Paoletti
ITF Tournaments
26.08.26	Matilde Paoletti - Sophie Triquart	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Mia Ristic - Matilde Paoletti	2:1 ✺
14.08.26	Rada Zolotareva - Matilde Paoletti	1:2 ✺
13.08.26	Elena Milutinovic - Matilde Paoletti	0:2 ✺
12.08.26	Matilde Paoletti - Despina Papamichail	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWWW

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