Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Lesa, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 August 2026, Wednesday


	Gabriele Bosio		Denis Constantin Spiridon

	1	2
			Watch
	1.53	2.30
	1.56	2.45
	1.52	2.34	Watch
	1.54	2.40
	1.55	2.30	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.49)	2.36 ↓ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gabriele Bosio
60.5%

Denis Constantin Spiridon
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.7%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gabriele Bosio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Denis Constantin Spiridon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabriele Bosio than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denis Constantin Spiridon than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Gabriele Bosio - Denis Constantin Spiridon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bosio is ranked ATP: 680. Spiridon is ranked ATP: 1130.

Neither of the players is performing well right now.

Spiridon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Bosio will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gabriele Bosio
ITF Tournaments
13.08.26	Gabriele Bosio - Rares Teodor Pieleanu	0:2 ✺
11.08.26	Gabriele Bosio - Francesco Ferrari	2:1 ✺
04.08.26	Giannicola Misasi - Gabriele Bosio	2:1 ✺
28.07.26	Radu David Turcanu - Gabriele Bosio	2:0 ✺
24.07.26	Gabriele Bosio - Yanis Ghazouani Durand	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWLLL
- Denis Constantin Spiridon
ITF Tournaments
04.08.26	Denis Constantin Spiridon - Pietro Romeo Scomparin	0:2 ✺
28.07.26	Giorgio Tabacco - Denis Constantin Spiridon	2:1 ✺
21.07.26	Denis Constantin Spiridon - Martin Van Der Meerschen	1:2 ✺
10.07.26	Yanis Ghazouani Durand - Denis Constantin Spiridon	2:0 ✺
09.07.26	Denis Constantin Spiridon - Pierre Antoine Tailleu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLLLW

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