Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Segrate, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 July 2026, Tuesday


	Denis Constantin Spiridon		Martin Van Der Meerschen

	1	2
	2.80	1.36
	2.97	1.41
	2.71	1.39	Watch
	2.9	1.39
	2.77	1.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.33)	1.39 ↓ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Denis Constantin Spiridon
32.9%

Martin Van Der Meerschen
67.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

60.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

59.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denis Constantin Spiridon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Denis Constantin Spiridon's form might have worsened.

Martin Van Der Meerschen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Martin Van Der Meerschen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denis Constantin Spiridon than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Denis Constantin Spiridon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martin Van Der Meerschen than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Martin Van Der Meerschen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Denis Constantin Spiridon - Martin Van Der Meerschen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Spiridon is ranked ATP: 1107. Van Der Meerschen is ranked ATP: 730.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Spiridon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Van Der Meerschen is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denis Constantin Spiridon
ITF Tournaments
10.07.26	Yanis Ghazouani Durand - Denis Constantin Spiridon	2:0 ✺
09.07.26	Denis Constantin Spiridon - Pierre Antoine Tailleu	2:0 ✺
08.07.26	Denis Constantin Spiridon - Tristan Berard	2:0 ✺
26.06.26	Pietro Romeo Scomparin - Denis Constantin Spiridon	2:0 ✺
25.06.26	Denis Constantin Spiridon - Leonardo Borrelli	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWLW
- Martin Van Der Meerschen
ITF Tournaments
16.07.26	Martin Van Der Meerschen - Lorenzo Beraldo	1:2 ✺
15.07.26	Martin Van Der Meerschen - Jacopo Bilardo	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.07.26	Kai Wehnelt - Martin Van Der Meerschen	2:0 ✺
05.07.26	Madhwin Kamath - Martin Van Der Meerschen	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.05.26	Lorenzo Gagliardo - Martin Van Der Meerschen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWLWW

Denis Constantin Spiridon - Martin Van Der Meerschen: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide