Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Bologna, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 1 September 2026, Tuesday


	Gabriele Bosio		Filippo Mazzola

	1	2
	1.83	1.83
	1.82	1.87
	1.84	1.84	Watch
	1.82	1.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 (1.83)	1.84 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gabriele Bosio
50.2%

Filippo Mazzola
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gabriele Bosio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Filippo Mazzola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gabriele Bosio than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Filippo Mazzola than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

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Preview

Bosio is ranked ATP: 693. Mazzola is ranked ATP: 1102.

Recent form of Bosio has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Mazzola has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Mazzola may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Gabriele Bosio - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gabriele Bosio
ITF Tournaments
19.08.26	Gabriele Bosio - Denis Constantin Spiridon	1:2 ✺
13.08.26	Gabriele Bosio - Rares Teodor Pieleanu	0:2 ✺
11.08.26	Gabriele Bosio - Francesco Ferrari	2:1 ✺
04.08.26	Giannicola Misasi - Gabriele Bosio	2:1 ✺
28.07.26	Radu David Turcanu - Gabriele Bosio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLWLL
- Filippo Mazzola
ITF Tournaments
29.07.26	Filippo Mazzola - Mario Arce Fernandez	Mazzola F. Retired ✺
16.07.26	Daniele Rapagnetta - Filippo Mazzola	2:0 ✺
14.07.26	Leonardo Primucci - Filippo Mazzola	0:2 ✺
11.07.26	Ilya Snitari - Filippo Mazzola	2:1 ✺
10.07.26	Filippo Mazzola - Matei Florin Breazu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 ?LWLW

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