Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25+H Bacau (Romania), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 July 2024, Wednesday


	Gabriele Pennaforti		Vlad Andrei Dancu

	1	2
	1.5	2.35
	1.5	2.36
	1.52	2.42
	1.51	2.39	Watch
	1.5	2.5
	1.51	2.45	Watch
	1.5	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.38)	2.4 ↓ (2.85)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gabriele Pennaforti
61.5%

Vlad Andrei Dancu
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.4%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.8%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gabriele Pennaforti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gabriele Pennaforti's form might have worsened.

Vlad Andrei Dancu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vlad Andrei Dancu's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gabriele Pennaforti than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gabriele Pennaforti, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vlad Andrei Dancu than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vlad Andrei Dancu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Pennaforti is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Dancu is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pennaforti could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Pennaforti will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gabriele Pennaforti
ITF Tournaments
21.07.24	Gabriele Pennaforti - Samuele Pieri	2:0 ✺
20.07.24	Alessandro Pecci - Gabriele Pennaforti	Pecci A. retired ✺
19.07.24	Gabriele Pennaforti - Matteo De Vincentis	2:0 ✺
18.07.24	Gabriele Pennaforti - Giulio Perego	2:0 ✺
17.07.24	Gabriele Pennaforti - Nicola Rispoli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 W?WWW
- Vlad Andrei Dancu
ATP Challenger
08.07.24	Michael Vrbensky - Vlad Andrei Dancu	2:1 ✺
07.07.24	Stefan Palosi - Vlad Andrei Dancu	Palosi S. retired ✺
02.07.24	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Vlad Andrei Dancu	2:0 ✺
01.07.24	Bogdan Bobrov - Vlad Andrei Dancu	0:2 ✺
30.06.24	Bogdan Pavel - Vlad Andrei Dancu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 L?LWW

Gabriele Pennaforti - Vlad Andrei Dancu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide