Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Messina, clay - Final

Date: 13 June 2026, Saturday


	Gabriele Piraino		Fausto Tabacco

	1	2
	1.40	2.65
	1.41	2.70
	1.41	2.93
	1.39	2.71	Watch
	1.36	2.75
	1.40	2.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.46)	2.75 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gabriele Piraino
66.3%

Fausto Tabacco
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.8%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gabriele Piraino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Fausto Tabacco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabriele Piraino than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gabriele Piraino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fausto Tabacco than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fausto Tabacco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gabriele Piraino - Fausto Tabacco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Piraino is ranked ATP: 388. Tabacco is ranked ATP: 700.

Piraino is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Tabacco has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Tabacco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Piraino will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Piraino won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gabriele Piraino
ITF Tournaments
12.06.26	Gabriele Piraino - Marcel Zielinski	2:0 ✺
10.06.26	Gabriele Piraino - Sebastiano Cocola	2:1 ✺
09.06.26	Gabriele Piraino - Daniele Rapagnetta	2:1 ✺
06.06.26	Luca Potenza - Gabriele Piraino	2:1 ✺
05.06.26	Rafael Izquierdo Luque - Gabriele Piraino	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWWLW
- Fausto Tabacco
ITF Tournaments
12.06.26	Maxence Rivet - Fausto Tabacco	1:2 ✺
10.06.26	Fausto Tabacco - Alexandre Reco	2:0 ✺
04.06.26	Fausto Tabacco - Rafael Izquierdo Luque	0:2 ✺
29.05.26	Fausto Tabacco - Yassine Dlimi	0:2 ✺
28.05.26	Fausto Tabacco - Mathieu Scaglia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
14.11.24	Gabriele Piraino - Fausto Tabacco	1:2
13.08.22	Fausto Tabacco - Gabriele Piraino	0:2

Gabriele Piraino - Fausto Tabacco: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide