Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lugano - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday


	Gabriele Piraino		Oleksandr Ovcharenko

	1	2
			Watch
	1.78	1.93	Watch
	1.68	2.09	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.76	1.93	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (2)	1.95 ↑ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gabriele Piraino
52.5%

Oleksandr Ovcharenko
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

50.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gabriele Piraino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gabriele Piraino's performance.

Oleksandr Ovcharenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Oleksandr Ovcharenko might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabriele Piraino than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oleksandr Ovcharenko than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Gabriele Piraino - Oleksandr Ovcharenko Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Piraino will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Ovcharenko will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Piraino (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 Games - Piraino (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Piraino (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Piraino is ranked ATP: 359. Ovcharenko is ranked ATP: 546.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Piraino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gabriele Piraino
ATP Challenger
10.02.26	Lloyd Harris - Gabriele Piraino	2:0 ✺
09.02.26	Hynek Barton - Gabriele Piraino	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	Szymon Kielan - Gabriele Piraino	0:2 ✺
04.02.26	Gabriele Piraino - Stefano Travaglia	0:2 ✺
02.02.26	Alibek Kachmazov - Gabriele Piraino	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 LWWLW
- Oleksandr Ovcharenko
ITF Tournaments
31.01.26	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Tomasz Berkieta	0:2 ✺
30.01.26	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Keisuke Saitoh	2:0 ✺
29.01.26	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Geun Jun Kim	2:0 ✺
29.01.26	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Yuto Oki	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Marlon Vankan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWWL

Gabriele Piraino - Oleksandr Ovcharenko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide