Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Sharm ElSheikh 18 (Egypt), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 November 2024, Wednesday


	Gaeul Jang		Aleksandra Pozarenko

	1	2
	2.15	1.6
	2.32	1.52
	2.35	1.53	Watch
	2.2	1.62
	2.94	1.36	Watch
	2.32	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (1.96)	1.53 ↓ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gaeul Jang
39.1%

Aleksandra Pozarenko
60.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

53.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

49.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gaeul Jang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gaeul Jang's form might have worsened.

Aleksandra Pozarenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aleksandra Pozarenko's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gaeul Jang than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gaeul Jang, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aleksandra Pozarenko than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aleksandra Pozarenko, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Jang is ranked WTA: 1059.

Jang is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Pozarenko is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Jang could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gaeul Jang
ITF Tournaments
06.11.24	Gaeul Jang - Dasha Ivanova	0:2 ✺
23.10.24	Gaeul Jang - Yujin Kim	1:2 ✺
01.10.24	Gaeul Jang - Eunchae Kim	0:2 ✺
25.09.24	Chihiro Muramatsu - Gaeul Jang	2:0 ✺
23.09.24	Gaeul Jang - Na-Ri Kim	Kim N. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.9 LLLL?
- Aleksandra Pozarenko
ITF Tournaments
09.11.24	Eunhye Lee - Aleksandra Pozarenko	2:0 ✺
08.11.24	Nina Rudiukova - Aleksandra Pozarenko	0:2 ✺
07.11.24	Aleksandra Pozarenko - Jian Ibrahim	Ibrahim J. retired ✺
06.11.24	Vlada Kozak - Aleksandra Pozarenko	0:2 ✺
29.10.24	Aleksandra Pozarenko - Edda Mamedova	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LW?WL

Gaeul Jang - Aleksandra Pozarenko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide