Match Info

Date: 24 February 2022, Thursday


	Garbine Muguruza		Jelena Ostapenko

	1	2
	1.72	2.1	Watch
	1.7	2.1
	1.74	2.1	Watch
	1.71	2.05
	1.81	2.12
	1.73	2.1
	1.79	2.12	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.87)	2.1 ↑ (1.91)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Garbine Muguruza
54.6%

Jelena Ostapenko
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Garbine Muguruza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Jelena Ostapenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Garbine Muguruza than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Garbine Muguruza that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelena Ostapenko than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jelena Ostapenko could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
32.6%	0%	67.4%

Garbine Muguruza - Jelena Ostapenko Predictions

Users Predictions: 46 users predict this event. Muguruza will win (votes: 15 - 32.6%). Ostapenko will win (votes: 31 - 67.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ostapenko: 53.9% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Muguruza is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ostapenko in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Muguruza could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Muguruza won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Garbine Muguruza
WTA Doha
23.02.22	Garbine Muguruza - Madison Brengle	2:0 ✺
21.02.22	Garbine Muguruza - Sorana Cirstea	2:0 ✺
WTA Dubai
16.02.22	Veronika Kudermetova - Garbine Muguruza	2:1 ✺
15.02.22	Katerina Siniakova - Garbine Muguruza	1:2 ✺
14.02.22	Danielle Collins - Garbine Muguruza	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLW?
- Jelena Ostapenko
WTA Doha
23.02.22	Jelena Ostapenko - Barbora Krejcikova	2:0 ✺
22.02.22	Jelena Ostapenko - Amanda Anisimova	2:1 ✺
21.02.22	Jelena Ostapenko - Oceane Dodin	2:0 ✺
WTA Dubai
19.02.22	Jelena Ostapenko - Veronika Kudermetova	2:0 ✺
18.02.22	Jelena Ostapenko - Simona Halep	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Finals
22.10.17	Garbine Muguruza - Jelena Ostapenko	2:0
WTA Wuhan
28.09.17	Garbine Muguruza - Jelena Ostapenko	1:2
WTA Roma
17.05.17	Jelena Ostapenko - Garbine Muguruza	1:2
12.05.16	Jelena Ostapenko - Garbine Muguruza	0:2

Garbine Muguruza - Jelena Ostapenko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide