Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sao Paulo 5 (Brazil) - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 18 November 2024, Monday


	Garrett Johns		Eduardo Ribeiro

	1	2
			Watch
	1.44	2.55
	1.43	2.6	Watch
	1.46	2.65
	1.46	2.59	Watch
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.44	2.66	Watch
	1.43	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (2.15)	2.59 ↑ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Garrett Johns
64.1%

Eduardo Ribeiro
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

57.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

56.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Garrett Johns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Garrett Johns's performance.

Eduardo Ribeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Eduardo Ribeiro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Garrett Johns than the current prediction. (-20.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Garrett Johns that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eduardo Ribeiro than the current prediction. (+20.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Eduardo Ribeiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Garrett Johns - Eduardo Ribeiro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Johns is ranked ATP: 538. Ribeiro is ranked ATP: 651.

Recent matches Johns is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ribeiro is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ribeiro could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Garrett Johns
ATP Challenger
17.11.24	Garrett Johns - Arklon Huertas Del Pino	2:0 ✺
11.11.24	Gastao Elias - Garrett Johns	2:1 ✺
10.11.24	Franco Ribero - Garrett Johns	1:2 ✺
04.11.24	Mathys Erhard - Garrett Johns	2:0 ✺
03.11.24	Fabio Zavalaga - Garrett Johns	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLWLW
- Eduardo Ribeiro
ATP Challenger
17.11.24	Ryan Augusto Dos Santos - Eduardo Ribeiro	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
16.11.24	Mathys Erhard - Eduardo Ribeiro	2:1 ✺
15.11.24	Eduardo Ribeiro - Daniel Antonio Nunez	2:0 ✺
14.11.24	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Eduardo Ribeiro	1:2 ✺
13.11.24	Juan Estevez - Eduardo Ribeiro	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLWWW

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