Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Ibague (Colombia), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 June 2024, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Ibague (Colombia) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Garrett Johns		Facundo Mena

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.75	1.4
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.8	1.41	Watch
	2.7	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.55)	1.41 ↓ (1.47)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Garrett Johns
34%

Facundo Mena
66%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.5%

63.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

64.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Garrett Johns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Facundo Mena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Garrett Johns than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Facundo Mena than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Garrett Johns - Facundo Mena Predictions

Users Predictions: Facundo Mena will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Mena could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Mena will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Garrett Johns
ATP Challenger
20.06.24	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Garrett Johns	2:1 ✺
19.06.24	Garrett Johns - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	2:1 ✺
17.06.24	Raul Garcia - Garrett Johns	0:2 ✺
12.06.24	Garrett Johns - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	0:2 ✺
10.06.24	Garrett Johns - Luis Jose Nakamine	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWWLW
- Facundo Mena
ATP Challenger
21.06.24	Facundo Mena - Alvaro Guillen Meza	1:2 ✺
20.06.24	Facundo Mena - Leonardo Aboian	2:0 ✺
19.06.24	Facundo Mena - Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen	2:0 ✺
17.06.24	Facundo Mena - Nicolas Zanellato	2:0 ✺
14.06.24	Juan Bautista Torres - Facundo Mena	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWWWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Garrett Johns
ITF Tournaments
30.10.26	Garrett Johns - Cezar Cretu	✺
29.10.26	Garrett Johns - Leyton Rivera	✺

Garrett Johns - Facundo Mena