Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tampere, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 July 2026, Monday


	Gauthier Onclin		Duje Ajdukovic

	1	2
			Watch
	1.40	2.75
	1.42	2.75	Watch
	1.42	2.94
	1.4	2.74	Watch
	1.39	2.95	Watch
	1.39	2.77	Watch
	1.35	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.44)	2.84 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gauthier Onclin
67%

Duje Ajdukovic
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gauthier Onclin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Duje Ajdukovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gauthier Onclin than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gauthier Onclin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Duje Ajdukovic than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Duje Ajdukovic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Gauthier Onclin - Duje Ajdukovic Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Onclin (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Gauthier Onclin will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Onclin is ranked ATP: 169. Ajdukovic is ranked ATP: 303.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Onclin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Onclin might have a minor edge in this game.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Duje Ajdukovic - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 36.27%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gauthier Onclin
ATP Challenger
14.07.26	Thijs Boogaard - Gauthier Onclin	2:1 ✺
09.07.26	Gauthier Onclin - Florian Broska	1:2 ✺
07.07.26	Gauthier Onclin - Gerard Campana Lee	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
24.06.26	Gauthier Onclin - Shintaro Mochizuki	1:2 ✺
22.06.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Gauthier Onclin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLWLW
- Duje Ajdukovic
ATP Umag
11.07.26	Marco Cecchinato - Duje Ajdukovic	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
25.06.26	Sumit Nagal - Duje Ajdukovic	2:1 ✺
24.06.26	Duje Ajdukovic - Franco Agamenone	2:0 ✺
23.06.26	Radu Albot - Duje Ajdukovic	1:2 ✺
15.06.26	Duje Ajdukovic - Dalibor Svrcina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLWWL

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