Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Targu Mures, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 June 2026, Thursday


	Sumit Nagal		Duje Ajdukovic

	1	2
			Watch
	1.45	2.55
	1.45	2.5	Watch
	1.55	2.65
	1.47	2.5	Watch
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.46	2.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.46)	2.54 ↓ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sumit Nagal
63.2%

Duje Ajdukovic
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.5%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.6%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sumit Nagal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Duje Ajdukovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sumit Nagal than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sumit Nagal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Duje Ajdukovic than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Duje Ajdukovic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Sumit Nagal - Duje Ajdukovic Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Nagal will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Ajdukovic will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ajdukovic: 68.4% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nagal is ranked ATP: 285. Ajdukovic is ranked ATP: 283.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Ajdukovic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Nagal is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nagal won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Duje Ajdukovic - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 36.47%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sumit Nagal
ATP Challenger
24.06.26	Benjamin Hassan - Sumit Nagal	1:2 ✺
23.06.26	Mili Poljicak - Sumit Nagal	1:2 ✺
15.06.26	Petr Brunclik - Sumit Nagal	Nagal S. Retired ✺
01.06.26	Sumit Nagal - Mariano Kestelboim	1:2 ✺
29.05.26	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Sumit Nagal	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WW?LL
- Duje Ajdukovic
ATP Challenger
24.06.26	Duje Ajdukovic - Franco Agamenone	2:0 ✺
23.06.26	Radu Albot - Duje Ajdukovic	1:2 ✺
15.06.26	Duje Ajdukovic - Dalibor Svrcina	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.06.26	Ivan Biletic - Duje Ajdukovic	2:0 ✺
10.06.26	Nicolo Toffanin - Duje Ajdukovic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
25.03.25	Duje Ajdukovic - Sumit Nagal	0:2

Sumit Nagal - Duje Ajdukovic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide