Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Perugia - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 9 June 2025, Monday


	Gerard Campana Lee		Alexander Weis

	1	2
			Watch
	1.53	2.3
	1.58	2.23	Watch
	1.62	2.24	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.61	2.23	Watch
	1.58	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.83)	2.25 ↑ (1.87)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gerard Campana Lee
58.7%

Alexander Weis
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gerard Campana Lee has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gerard Campana Lee's performance.

Alexander Weis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alexander Weis might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gerard Campana Lee than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gerard Campana Lee that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Weis than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alexander Weis could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Gerard Campana Lee - Alexander Weis Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Campana Lee (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Gerard Campana Lee will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

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Preview

Campana Lee is ranked ATP: 435. Weis is ranked ATP: 497.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Weis may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Campana Lee might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Gerard Campana Lee - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50.54%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Alexander Weis - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 49.46%, but this team recently wins 69% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gerard Campana Lee
ATP Challenger
08.06.25	Masamichi Imamura - Gerard Campana Lee	0:2 ✺
02.06.25	Petr Brunclik - Gerard Campana Lee	2:0 ✺
01.06.25	Gerard Campana Lee - Sandro Kopp	2:0 ✺
19.05.25	Nerman Fatic - Gerard Campana Lee	2:1 ✺
18.05.25	Stefan Micov - Gerard Campana Lee	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLWLW
- Alexander Weis
ATP Challenger
08.06.25	Alexander Weis - Gianluca Mager	2:0 ✺
01.06.25	Alexander Weis - Toby Alex Kodat	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.05.25	Alexander Weis - Leo Raquillet	1:2 ✺
28.05.25	Alexander Weis - Gregor Hausberger	2:0 ✺
22.05.25	Alexander Weis - Filippo Romano	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLLWL

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