The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gerard Campana Lee 48.8%
Pedro Vives Marcos 51.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.3%
45.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.1%
42.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gerard Campana Lee has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gerard Campana Lee's form might have worsened.
Pedro Vives Marcos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pedro Vives Marcos's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gerard Campana Lee than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gerard Campana Lee, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pedro Vives Marcos than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pedro Vives Marcos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Gerard Campana Lee - Pedro Vives Marcos Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Campana Lee is ranked ATP: 515., and Vives Marcos is ranked ATP: 533..
Campana Lee arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Performances by Vives Marcos have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Vives Marcos may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Campana Lee has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:4 (averaging 0.5:2 goals per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Gerard Campana Lee - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 54.3%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.