Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Santa Margherita di Pula 11 (Italy), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 October 2024, Tuesday


	Gergana Topalova		Diletta Cherubini

	1	2
	1.55	2.25
	1.53	2.29
	1.56	2.33
	1.54	2.32	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.53	2.37	Watch
	1.53	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.31)	2.3 ↓ (3.13)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gergana Topalova
59.8%

Diletta Cherubini
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.5%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gergana Topalova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gergana Topalova's form might have worsened.

Diletta Cherubini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Diletta Cherubini's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gergana Topalova than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gergana Topalova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diletta Cherubini than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Diletta Cherubini, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Gergana Topalova - Diletta Cherubini Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Topalova is ranked WTA: 333. Cherubini is ranked WTA: 505.

Topalova is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Cherubini is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cherubini could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Topalova is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gergana Topalova
ITF Tournaments
09.10.24	Rositsa Dencheva - Gergana Topalova	2:1 ✺
18.09.24	Lia Karatancheva - Gergana Topalova	2:0 ✺
05.09.24	Alice Robbe - Gergana Topalova	Topalova G. retired ✺
04.09.24	Ayana Akli - Gergana Topalova	0:2 ✺
29.08.24	Cristina Diaz Adrover - Gergana Topalova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LL?WL
- Diletta Cherubini
ITF Tournaments
04.10.24	Julia Riera - Diletta Cherubini	2:0 ✺
03.10.24	Diletta Cherubini - Sofia Rocchetti	Rocchetti S. retired ✺
01.10.24	Ana Candiotto - Diletta Cherubini	1:2 ✺
25.09.24	Ana Sofia Sanchez - Diletta Cherubini	2:1 ✺
23.09.24	Diletta Cherubini - Beatrice Ricci	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 L?WLW

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