The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gian Marco Moroni 46.9%
Filip Horansky 53.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.7%
49.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52%
48%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gian Marco Moroni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
Filip Horansky has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gian Marco Moroni than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gian Marco Moroni, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Filip Horansky than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Filip Horansky, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
11.1%
0%
88.9%
Gian Marco Moroni - Filip Horansky Predictions
Users Predictions:
Filip Horansky will win
(24 of 27 users predict this - 88.89%). Confidence interval (95%): 77.04% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Both players have a series of defeats in the last matches.
Moroni could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.