Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 SANTA MARGHERITA DI PULA 7 (ITALY), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 26 September 2023, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: SANTA MARGHERITA DI PULA 7 (ITALY) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Gian Marco Moroni		Luca Potenza

	1	2
	1.37	2.85
	1.33	3.14
	1.36	3
	1.32	3.1	Watch
	1.33	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.83)	3.01 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gian Marco Moroni
69.1%

Luca Potenza
30.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gian Marco Moroni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gian Marco Moroni's performance.

Luca Potenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luca Potenza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gian Marco Moroni than the current prediction. (-17.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gian Marco Moroni that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Potenza than the current prediction. (+17.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luca Potenza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Recent matches Moroni is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Potenza is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Moroni could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Moroni will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gian Marco Moroni
ATP Challenger
04.09.23	Imanol Lopez Morillo - Gian Marco Moroni	2:0 ✺
04.09.23	Jesse Flores - Gian Marco Moroni	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
01.09.23	Gian Marco Moroni - Ryan Nijboer	0:2 ✺
31.08.23	Gian Marco Moroni - Michiel De Krom	2:0 ✺
30.08.23	Gian Marco Moroni - Noah Regas Luis	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLWW
- Luca Potenza
ITF Tournaments
13.09.23	Luca Potenza - Carlo Alberto Caniato	1:2 ✺
29.08.23	Manuel Plunger - Luca Potenza	Potenza L. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
20.08.23	Alexander Donski - Luca Potenza	2:0 ✺
14.08.23	Miljan Zekic - Luca Potenza	2:1 ✺
13.08.23	Luca Potenza - Sergi Perez Contri	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 L?LLW

Gian Marco Moroni - Luca Potenza

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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