Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Metepec, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 February 2026, Monday


	Gijs Brouwer		Sebastian Gima

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
			Watch
	1.38	2.8	Watch
	1.43	2.88
	1.37	2.85	Watch
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.4	2.73	Watch
	1.32	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.84)	2.87 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gijs Brouwer
67.4%

Sebastian Gima
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gijs Brouwer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gijs Brouwer's performance.

Sebastian Gima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sebastian Gima might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gijs Brouwer than the current prediction. (-21.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gijs Brouwer that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Gima than the current prediction. (+21.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sebastian Gima could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gijs Brouwer - Sebastian Gima Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Brouwer is ranked ATP: 1847. Gima is ranked ATP: 570.

Brouwer has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Gima has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Gima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Brouwer might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Gijs Brouwer - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 49.97%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Sebastian Gima - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.03%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gijs Brouwer
ITF Tournaments
05.02.26	Manas Manoj Dhamne - Gijs Brouwer	2:0 ✺
03.02.26	Gijs Brouwer - Daniil Sarksian	2:1 ✺
21.01.26	Gijs Brouwer - Egor Pleshivtsev	Canceled ✺
08.01.26	Gijs Brouwer - Max Hans Rehberg	0:2 ✺
06.01.26	Gijs Brouwer - Johan Oscar Lien	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LW?LW
- Sebastian Gima
ATP Challenger
09.02.26	Andre Ilagan - Sebastian Gima	2:0 ✺
01.02.26	Sebastian Gima - Ben Jones	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
29.01.26	Sebastian Gima - Ronit Karki	0:2 ✺
28.01.26	Sebastian Gima - Franco Ribero	Canceled ✺
23.01.26	Facundo Mena - Sebastian Gima	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLL?L

Gijs Brouwer - Sebastian Gima: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide