The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gilles Simon 36.7%
Jack Draper 63.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.4%
57.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.4%
56.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gilles Simon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gilles Simon's form might have worsened.
Jack Draper has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jack Draper's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gilles Simon than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gilles Simon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jack Draper than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jack Draper, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14.5%
0%
85.5%
Gilles Simon - Jack Draper Predictions
Users Predictions:
Jack Draper will win
(47 of 55 users predict this - 85.45%). Confidence interval (95%): 76.13% – 94.77%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Recent matches Simon is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Draper is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Draper could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Draper will have a small advantage in this match.
Our prediction for today's Draper to win the game is with odds 1.6.