Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Lisbon - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 12 October 2026, Monday


	Gina Feistel		Tena Lukas

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.40	2.85
	1.4	2.7
	1.4	2.76
	1.42	2.8
	1.41	2.69	Watch
	1.4	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.71)	2.75 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gina Feistel
66.2%

Tena Lukas
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gina Feistel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gina Feistel's performance.

Tena Lukas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tena Lukas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gina Feistel than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gina Feistel that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tena Lukas than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tena Lukas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Gina Feistel - Tena Lukas Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Feistel will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Lukas will win (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Feistel is ranked WTA: 331., and Lukas is ranked WTA: 414..

In recent outings, Feistel has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Lukas shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Feistel holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Feistel has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Tena Lukas - the odds 2.01 are the expected chance of winning is 45.9%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gina Feistel
ATP Challenger
11.10.26	Gina Feistel - Elina Nepliy	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
07.10.26	Gina Feistel - Rositsa Dencheva	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.09.26	Gina Feistel - Elena Ruxandra Bertea	Bertea E. R. Walkover
14.09.26	Barbora Palicova - Gina Feistel	2:0 ✺
08.09.26	Maria Lourdes Carle - Gina Feistel	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WL?LL
- Tena Lukas
ATP Challenger
11.10.26	Ana Filipa Santos - Tena Lukas	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
07.10.26	Jessica Pieri - Tena Lukas	2:0 ✺
25.09.26	Tena Lukas - Alisa Oktiabreva	Lukas T. Retired ✺
24.09.26	Tena Lukas - Sara Cakarevic	2:0 ✺
23.09.26	Tena Lukas - Verena Meliss	Meliss V. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WL?W?

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
04.09.24	Tena Lukas - Gina Feistel	2:1

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