Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Santa Margherita di Pula 9, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 October 2026, Wednesday


	Jessica Pieri		Tena Lukas

	1	2
			Watch
	1.80	1.87
	1.70	2.02
	1.71	1.97	Watch
	1.87	1.90
	1.78	1.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.69)	1.92 ↓ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jessica Pieri
52.1%

Tena Lukas
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

48.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jessica Pieri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Tena Lukas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jessica Pieri than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tena Lukas than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Jessica Pieri - Tena Lukas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pieri is ranked WTA: 323., and Lukas is ranked WTA: 414..

Pieri is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Lukas have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jessica Pieri
ATP Challenger
26.09.26	Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales - Jessica Pieri	2:0 ✺
25.09.26	Mia Ristic - Jessica Pieri	0:2 ✺
23.09.26	Jessica Pieri - Leyre Romero Gormaz	2:1 ✺
22.09.26	Jessica Pieri - Ginevra De Angelis	2:0 ✺
21.09.26	Jessica Pieri - Aneta Kucmova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 LWWWW
- Tena Lukas
ITF Tournaments
25.09.26	Tena Lukas - Alisa Oktiabreva	Lukas T. Retired ✺
24.09.26	Tena Lukas - Sara Cakarevic	2:0 ✺
23.09.26	Tena Lukas - Verena Meliss	Meliss V. Retired ✺
ATP Challenger
13.09.26	Tena Lukas - Madison Sieg	0:2 ✺
07.09.26	Nastasja Mariana Schunk - Tena Lukas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 ?W?LL

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