Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sarasota (USA) - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 8 April 2024, Monday

Referee: Preston C. (Usa)


	Giovanni Fonio		Kyle Edmund

	1	2
			Watch
	2.3	1.53
	2.3	1.55	Watch
	2.37	1.56
	2.37	1.56
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.34	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.08)	1.53 ↓ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giovanni Fonio
39.3%

Kyle Edmund
60.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

55.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

56%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giovanni Fonio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Giovanni Fonio's form might have worsened.

Kyle Edmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kyle Edmund's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giovanni Fonio than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyle Edmund than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	0%	90%

Giovanni Fonio - Kyle Edmund Predictions

Users Predictions: Kyle Edmund will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

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Preview

Fonio is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Edmund is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Edmund could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Edmund will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Giovanni Fonio
ATP Challenger
07.04.24	Giovanni Fonio - Duarte Vale	2:0 ✺
02.04.24	Giovanni Fonio - Nicolas Mejia	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
20.03.24	Giovanni Fonio - Imanol Lopez Morillo	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.03.24	Giovanni Fonio - Zsombor Piros	0:2 ✺
25.02.24	Carlos Lopez Montagud - Giovanni Fonio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 WLLLL
- Kyle Edmund
ATP Challenger
07.04.24	Gerald Melzer - Kyle Edmund	0:2 ✺
12.03.24	Marko Topo - Kyle Edmund	2:0 ✺
11.03.24	Denis Yevseyev - Kyle Edmund	0:2 ✺
10.03.24	Andrea Picchione - Kyle Edmund	0:2 ✺
03.03.24	Kyle Edmund - Cem Ilkel	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLWWL

Giovanni Fonio - Kyle Edmund: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide