Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cesenatico, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 February 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Cesenatico 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Giovanni Fonio		Svyatoslav Gulin

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.95	1.75	Watch
	2	1.83
	2.12	1.64	Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.93	1.76	Watch
	2.07	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.62)	1.73 ↓ (2.15)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giovanni Fonio
46.3%

Svyatoslav Gulin
53.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.1%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giovanni Fonio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Giovanni Fonio's form might have worsened.

Svyatoslav Gulin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Svyatoslav Gulin's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Giovanni Fonio - Svyatoslav Gulin Predictions

Users Predictions: Svyatoslav Gulin will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Svyatoslav Gulin will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Fonio is ranked ATP: 458. Gulin is ranked ATP: 457.

In recent matches, Gulin has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Gulin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Fonio might have a minor edge in this game.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Giovanni Fonio - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 57.1%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Giovanni Fonio
ATP Challenger
19.01.26	Radu Albot - Giovanni Fonio	2:1 ✺
18.01.26	Marko Miladinovic - Giovanni Fonio	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.01.26	Giovanni Fonio - Mert Naci Turker	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.09.25	Giovanni Fonio - Zdenek Kolar	1:2 ✺
09.09.25	Filippo Romano - Giovanni Fonio	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWLLW
- Svyatoslav Gulin
ATP Challenger
27.01.26	Laurent Lokoli - Svyatoslav Gulin	2:0 ✺
26.01.26	Svyatoslav Gulin - Cyril Vandermeersch	2:1 ✺
20.01.26	Duje Ajdukovic - Svyatoslav Gulin	2:1 ✺
19.01.26	Alexandr Binda - Svyatoslav Gulin	0:2 ✺
18.01.26	Kirill Kivattsev - Svyatoslav Gulin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWLWW

Giovanni Fonio - Svyatoslav Gulin