Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cervia, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 May 2026, Tuesday


	Giovanni Oradini		Guido Ivan Justo

	1	2
	2.6	1.43
	2.84	1.49
	2.71	1.4	Watch
	2.63	1.44
	2.62	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.09)	1.44 ↓ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giovanni Oradini
34.9%

Guido Ivan Justo
65.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

51%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giovanni Oradini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Giovanni Oradini's form might have worsened.

Guido Ivan Justo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guido Ivan Justo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giovanni Oradini than the current prediction. (+14.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Giovanni Oradini, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guido Ivan Justo than the current prediction. (-14.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guido Ivan Justo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Giovanni Oradini - Guido Ivan Justo Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Oradini will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Justo will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Oradini is ranked ATP: 612. Justo is ranked ATP: 249.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Oradini may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Giovanni Oradini - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 44.12%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Guido Ivan Justo - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 55.88%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Giovanni Oradini
ATP Challenger
18.05.26	Giovanni Oradini - Manuel Mazza	2:1 ✺
17.05.26	Olle Wallin - Giovanni Oradini	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.05.26	Giovanni Oradini - Tommaso Compagnucci	0:2 ✺
29.04.26	Yannick Theodor Alexandrescou - Giovanni Oradini	2:0 ✺
24.04.26	Federico Arnaboldi - Giovanni Oradini	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWLLL
- Guido Ivan Justo
ATP Challenger
15.05.26	Guido Ivan Justo - Franco Roncadelli	0:2 ✺
14.05.26	Guido Ivan Justo - Eduardo Ribeiro	2:0 ✺
13.05.26	Guido Ivan Justo - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	2:0 ✺
12.05.26	Guido Ivan Justo - Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez	Rodriguez L. J. Retired ✺
07.05.26	Guido Ivan Justo - Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWW?L

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