Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cervia - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 18 May 2026, Monday


	Giovanni Oradini		Manuel Mazza

	1	2
	2.5	1.46
	2.55	1.45	Watch
	2.5	1.5
	2.59	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (1.99)	1.46 ↓ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giovanni Oradini
36.6%

Manuel Mazza
63.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

53.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giovanni Oradini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Giovanni Oradini's form might have worsened.

Manuel Mazza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Manuel Mazza's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giovanni Oradini than the current prediction. (+14%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Giovanni Oradini, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manuel Mazza than the current prediction. (-14%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Manuel Mazza, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Giovanni Oradini - Manuel Mazza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Oradini is ranked ATP: 609. Mazza is ranked ATP: 559.

In recent matches, Oradini has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mazza is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Oradini may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Mazza might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Mazza will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Oradini won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Giovanni Oradini
ATP Challenger
17.05.26	Olle Wallin - Giovanni Oradini	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.05.26	Giovanni Oradini - Tommaso Compagnucci	0:2 ✺
29.04.26	Yannick Theodor Alexandrescou - Giovanni Oradini	2:0 ✺
24.04.26	Federico Arnaboldi - Giovanni Oradini	2:0 ✺
23.04.26	Giovanni Oradini - Tommaso Compagnucci	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLLLW
- Manuel Mazza
ATP Challenger
17.05.26	Manuel Mazza - Laurent Lokoli	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
16.05.26	Manuel Mazza - Gabriele Piraino	1:2 ✺
15.05.26	Luis Guto Miguel - Manuel Mazza	1:2 ✺
13.05.26	Filippo Mazzola - Manuel Mazza	0:2 ✺
11.05.26	Manuel Mazza - Ioannis Xilas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
20.05.25	Manuel Mazza - Giovanni Oradini	0:2

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