Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Messina, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 June 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Messina 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Giulio Perego		Alexandre Reco

	1	2
	1.90	1.78
	2.60	1.44
	2.58	1.43	Watch
	2.50	1.44
	2.56	1.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.53)	1.51 ↑ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 19.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giulio Perego
38.3%

Alexandre Reco
61.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.3%

63.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

70%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giulio Perego has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Alexandre Reco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giulio Perego than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Giulio Perego that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexandre Reco than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alexandre Reco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Perego is ranked ATP: 975. Reco is ranked ATP: 1309.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Reco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Reco could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Giulio Perego
ITF Tournaments
02.06.26	Giulio Perego - Massimo Giunta	0:2 ✺
03.05.26	Giulio Perego - Alec Beckley	0:2 ✺
02.05.26	Giulio Perego - Stefan Cooper	2:0 ✺
01.05.26	Giulio Perego - Stefan Seifert	2:0 ✺
29.04.26	Marc Van Der Merwe - Giulio Perego	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLWWW
- Alexandre Reco
ITF Tournaments
06.06.26	Massimo Giunta - Alexandre Reco	2:0 ✺
05.06.26	Juan Cruz Martin Manzano - Alexandre Reco	0:2 ✺
04.06.26	Alexandre Reco - Carlos Lopez Montagud	Lopez Montagud C. Retired ✺
02.06.26	Leonardo Primucci - Alexandre Reco	1:2 ✺
28.05.26	Alexandre Reco - Maxime Chazal	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LW?WL

Giulio Perego - Alexandre Reco

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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