Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Heraklion (Greece), clay - Semi-finals

Date: 22 March 2025, Saturday


	Gloria Ceschi		Alba Rey Garcia

	1	2
	3	1.33
	2.8	1.4	Watch
	3.25	1.33
	2.77	1.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (2.36)	1.37 ↓ (1.55)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gloria Ceschi
31.6%

Alba Rey Garcia
68.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

60.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

60.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gloria Ceschi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gloria Ceschi's form might have worsened.

Alba Rey Garcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alba Rey Garcia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gloria Ceschi than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gloria Ceschi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alba Rey Garcia than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alba Rey Garcia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Gloria Ceschi - Alba Rey Garcia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ceschi is ranked WTA: 685. Rey Garcia is ranked WTA: 801.

Ceschi is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Rey Garcia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Rey Garcia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Rey Garcia will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ceschi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gloria Ceschi
ITF Tournaments
21.03.25	Gloria Ceschi - Elena Korokozidi	2:1 ✺
20.03.25	Gloria Ceschi - Simona Ogescu	2:1 ✺
19.03.25	Gloria Ceschi - Eleni Chatziavraam	2:0 ✺
07.03.25	Gloria Ceschi - Vicky Van De Peer	0:2 ✺
05.03.25	Gloria Ceschi - Margaux Komano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWLW
- Alba Rey Garcia
ITF Tournaments
20.03.25	Hibah Shaikh - Alba Rey Garcia	0:2 ✺
19.03.25	Alba Rey Garcia - Maria Sara Popa	2:0 ✺
27.02.25	Alice Gillan - Alba Rey Garcia	2:0 ✺
26.02.25	Camilla Bossi - Alba Rey Garcia	1:2 ✺
29.01.25	Alba Rey Garcia - Hayu Kinoshita	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
07.12.22	Alba Rey Garcia - Gloria Ceschi	2:0
04.02.22	Alba Rey Garcia - Gloria Ceschi	0:2

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