Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Maribor, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 March 2026, Thursday


	Greetje Minnen		Heather Watson

	1	2
			Watch
	1.47	2.5	Watch
	1.47	2.74
	1.43	2.6	Watch
	1.5	2.38
	1.48	2.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.67)	2.54 ↑ (2.1)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Greetje Minnen
63.3%

Heather Watson
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Greetje Minnen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Greetje Minnen's performance.

Heather Watson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Heather Watson might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greetje Minnen than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Greetje Minnen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heather Watson than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Heather Watson could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Greetje Minnen - Heather Watson Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Minnen is ranked WTA: 156. Watson is ranked WTA: 261.

Minnen is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Watson has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Watson may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Minnen won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Greetje Minnen
ITF Tournaments
18.03.26	Greetje Minnen - Camilla Rosatello	2:0 ✺
05.03.26	Elizara Yaneva - Greetje Minnen	2:0 ✺
04.03.26	Barbora Palicova - Greetje Minnen	Palicova B. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
17.02.26	Greetje Minnen - Camilla Rosatello	1:2 ✺
12.02.26	Alina Korneeva - Greetje Minnen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 WL?LL
- Heather Watson
ITF Tournaments
17.03.26	Pia Lovric - Heather Watson	0:2 ✺
04.03.26	Alina Korneeva - Heather Watson	2:0 ✺
WTA Merida
24.02.26	Jessica Bouzas Maneiro - Heather Watson	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Heather Watson - Lia Karatancheva	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Diane Parry - Heather Watson	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Wimbledon
01.07.24	Greetje Minnen - Heather Watson	2:0

Greetje Minnen - Heather Watson: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide