Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tigre, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	Guido Ivan Justo		Gonzalo Bueno

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.33	1.54	Watch
	2.21	1.60	Watch
	2.23	1.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.49)	1.56 ↑ (1.48)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guido Ivan Justo
40.2%

Gonzalo Bueno
59.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

62.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

67.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guido Ivan Justo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Gonzalo Bueno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guido Ivan Justo than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guido Ivan Justo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gonzalo Bueno than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gonzalo Bueno could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.9%	0%	94.1%

Guido Ivan Justo - Gonzalo Bueno Predictions

Users Predictions: Gonzalo Bueno will win (16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.94% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Gonzalo Bueno will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Justo is ranked ATP: 347. Bueno is ranked ATP: 218.

Justo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Bueno has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Justo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Bueno could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Justo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Guido Ivan Justo - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 37.28%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Gonzalo Bueno - the odds 1.48 are the expected chance of winning is 62.72%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guido Ivan Justo
ATP Challenger
20.02.26	Guido Ivan Justo - Bruno Fernandez	2:0 ✺
19.02.26	Guido Ivan Justo - Facundo Diaz Acosta	2:0 ✺
17.02.26	Franco Agamenone - Guido Ivan Justo	0:2 ✺
03.02.26	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Guido Ivan Justo	2:0 ✺
02.02.26	Guido Ivan Justo - Ezequiel Monferrer	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWLW
- Gonzalo Bueno
ATP Challenger
20.02.26	Andrea Collarini - Gonzalo Bueno	0:2 ✺
19.02.26	Franco Roncadelli - Gonzalo Bueno	0:2 ✺
17.02.26	Daniel Dutra da Silva - Gonzalo Bueno	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
07.02.26	Jan-Lennard Struff - Gonzalo Bueno	Canceled ✺
06.02.26	Yannick Hanfmann - Gonzalo Bueno	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWW?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
22.01.26	Guido Ivan Justo - Gonzalo Bueno	1:2
24.06.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Guido Ivan Justo	2:0
ITF Tournaments
09.02.24	Guido Ivan Justo - Gonzalo Bueno	1:2

Guido Ivan Justo - Gonzalo Bueno: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide