Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tigre, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday


	Andrea Collarini		Gonzalo Bueno

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.96	1.76	Watch
	2	1.89
	1.93	1.78	Watch
	1.94	1.75	Watch
	1.93	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.19)	1.79 ↑ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrea Collarini
47.7%

Gonzalo Bueno
52.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

58%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

54.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Collarini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Andrea Collarini's performance.

Gonzalo Bueno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gonzalo Bueno might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Collarini than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gonzalo Bueno than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Andrea Collarini - Gonzalo Bueno Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bueno (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Collarini is ranked ATP: 233. Bueno is ranked ATP: 218.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Collarini may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Collarini won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Collarini
ATP Challenger
19.02.26	Andrea Collarini - Juan Bautista Torres	2:1 ✺
18.02.26	Andrea Collarini - Lucio Ratti	2:0 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
07.02.26	Andrea Collarini - Thiago Seyboth Wild	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.02.26	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Andrea Collarini	2:1 ✺
27.01.26	Andrea Collarini - Alvaro Guillen Meza	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWLLL
- Gonzalo Bueno
ATP Challenger
19.02.26	Franco Roncadelli - Gonzalo Bueno	0:2 ✺
17.02.26	Daniel Dutra da Silva - Gonzalo Bueno	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
07.02.26	Jan-Lennard Struff - Gonzalo Bueno	Canceled ✺
06.02.26	Yannick Hanfmann - Gonzalo Bueno	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.01.26	Gonzalo Bueno - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WW?LL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
16.09.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Andrea Collarini	1:2
01.08.25	Andrea Collarini - Gonzalo Bueno	0:2
21.09.24	Gonzalo Bueno - Andrea Collarini	2:0
03.07.24	Gonzalo Bueno - Andrea Collarini	0:2

Andrea Collarini - Gonzalo Bueno: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide