Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Asuncion 2, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 19 June 2026, Friday


	Guido Ivan Justo		Nick Hardt

	1	2
			Watch
	1.98	1.75	Watch
	2.00	1.76	Watch
	2.06	1.87
	1.96	1.77	Watch
	1.95	1.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.56)	1.78 ↑ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guido Ivan Justo
47.2%

Nick Hardt
52.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

64%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

64.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guido Ivan Justo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guido Ivan Justo's performance.

Nick Hardt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nick Hardt might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guido Ivan Justo than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guido Ivan Justo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nick Hardt than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nick Hardt could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Guido Ivan Justo - Nick Hardt Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Justo will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Hardt will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hardt: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Justo is ranked ATP: 248. Hardt is ranked ATP: 340.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Hardt may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Hardt will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Guido Ivan Justo - the odds 2.56 are the expected chance of winning is 36%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Nick Hardt - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 64%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guido Ivan Justo
ATP Challenger
18.06.26	Guido Ivan Justo - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	2:0 ✺
17.06.26	Guido Ivan Justo - Juan Sebastian Gomez	2:0 ✺
16.06.26	Guido Ivan Justo - Juan Alejandro Hernandez	2:0 ✺
13.06.26	Guido Ivan Justo - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	1:2 ✺
12.06.26	Guido Ivan Justo - Thiago Cigarran	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWLW
- Nick Hardt
ATP Challenger
18.06.26	Nick Hardt - Matias Soto	2:1 ✺
17.06.26	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Nick Hardt	1:2 ✺
15.06.26	Bruno Fernandez - Nick Hardt	1:2 ✺
11.06.26	Nicolas Kicker - Nick Hardt	2:0 ✺
10.06.26	Nick Hardt - Bruno Fernandez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWWLW

Guido Ivan Justo - Nick Hardt: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide