Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hagen, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 August 2026, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1


	Guy Den Ouden		Alexandre Muller

	1	2
	1.73	2.00	Watch
	1.80	1.90
	1.81	1.95
	1.90	1.98
	1.76	1.95	Watch
	1.80	1.95
	1.77	1.92	Watch
	1.75	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.54)	1.95 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Guy Den Ouden
52.1%

Alexandre Muller
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guy Den Ouden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guy Den Ouden's form might have worsened.

Alexandre Muller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alexandre Muller's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guy Den Ouden than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Guy Den Ouden - Alexandre Muller Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Den Ouden will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Muller will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Den Ouden (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Den Ouden is ranked ATP: 195. Muller is ranked ATP: 132.

Den Ouden is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Muller has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Den Ouden may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Alexandre Muller - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.31%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guy Den Ouden
ATP Challenger
28.07.26	Guy Den Ouden - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	0:2 ✺
19.07.26	Guy Den Ouden - Tom Gentzsch	2:1 ✺
18.07.26	Guy Den Ouden - Kimmer Coppejans	2:0 ✺
17.07.26	Ryan Nijboer - Guy Den Ouden	0:2 ✺
16.07.26	Guy Den Ouden - Hynek Barton	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWWWW
- Alexandre Muller
ATP Challenger
31.07.26	Alexandre Muller - Mili Poljicak	1:2 ✺
29.07.26	Alexandre Muller - Marco Cecchinato	2:1 ✺
27.07.26	Alexandre Muller - Stefano Napolitano	2:0 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
20.07.26	Alexandre Muller - Mariano Navone	0:2 ✺
ATP Gstaad
14.07.26	Alexandre Muller - Alexander Shevchenko	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWWLL

Upcoming Matches