Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 LOULE (PORTUGAL), HARD - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 2 March 2023, Thursday


	Guy Den Ouden		Giovanni Fonio

	1	2
			Watch
	3.2	1.28
	3.15	1.32
	3.15	1.33
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3.22	1.3	Watch
	2.75	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↑ (2.58)	1.32 ↓ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guy Den Ouden
29.8%

Giovanni Fonio
70.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

64.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

62.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guy Den Ouden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guy Den Ouden's form might have worsened.

Giovanni Fonio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Giovanni Fonio's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guy Den Ouden than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guy Den Ouden, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giovanni Fonio than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Giovanni Fonio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Guy Den Ouden - Giovanni Fonio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Den Ouden is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Fonio is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Fonio could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Fonio will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guy Den Ouden
ITF Tournaments
01.03.23	Goncalo Falcao - Guy Den Ouden	1:2 ✺
21.02.23	Fausto Tabacco - Guy Den Ouden	2:0 ✺
11.02.23	Guy Den Ouden - Boris Pokotilov	Den Ouden G. retired ✺
10.02.23	Guy Den Ouden - Peter Fajta	2:0 ✺
09.02.23	Guy Den Ouden - Jiri Barnat	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WL?WW
- Giovanni Fonio
ITF Tournaments
01.03.23	Tiago Pereira - Giovanni Fonio	0:2 ✺
23.02.23	August Holmgren - Giovanni Fonio	2:1 ✺
21.02.23	Goncalo Oliveira - Giovanni Fonio	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.02.23	Ryan Peniston - Giovanni Fonio	2:0 ✺
09.02.23	Giovanni Fonio - Bu Yunchaokete	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWLW

Guy Den Ouden - Giovanni Fonio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide