Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Champaign (USA), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 November 2024, Monday


	Hady Habib		Toby Alex Kodat

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.3	1.55
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.36	1.61
	2.28	1.59	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.21	1.62	Watch
	2.25	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (1.73)	1.58 ↓ (2.01)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hady Habib
41.1%

Toby Alex Kodat
58.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hady Habib has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hady Habib's form might have worsened.

Toby Alex Kodat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Toby Alex Kodat's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hady Habib than the current prediction. (+15.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hady Habib, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toby Alex Kodat than the current prediction. (-15.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Toby Alex Kodat, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Hady Habib - Toby Alex Kodat Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Habib will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Kodat will win (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Habib: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Habib is ranked ATP: 282. Kodat is ranked ATP: 353.

Habib is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Kodat is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kodat could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Kodat will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hady Habib
ATP Challenger
03.11.24	Hady Habib - Max Wiskandt	0:2 ✺
25.10.24	Hady Habib - Roman Andres Burruchaga	0:2 ✺
22.10.24	Hady Habib - Lautaro Midon	2:0 ✺
14.10.24	Hady Habib - Francisco Comesana	0:2 ✺
08.10.24	Hady Habib - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWLL
- Toby Alex Kodat
ATP Challenger
05.11.24	Toby Alex Kodat - Bernard Tomic	0:2 ✺
04.11.24	Toby Alex Kodat - Ozan Baris	2:1 ✺
03.11.24	Toby Alex Kodat - Edoardo Lavagno	2:0 ✺
29.10.24	Toby Alex Kodat - Paul Jubb	0:2 ✺
28.10.24	Toby Alex Kodat - Max Wiskandt	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWWLW

Hady Habib - Toby Alex Kodat: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide