Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Indian Wells (USA) - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 3 March 2025, Monday


	Hailey Baptiste		Ena Shibahara

	1	2
			Watch
	1.89	1.81	Watch
	2	1.84
	1.97	1.81	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.86	1.86	Watch
	1.89	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.59)	1.83 ↓ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hailey Baptiste
48.9%

Ena Shibahara
51.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hailey Baptiste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hailey Baptiste's form might have worsened.

Ena Shibahara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ena Shibahara's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hailey Baptiste than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hailey Baptiste, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ena Shibahara than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ena Shibahara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Hailey Baptiste - Ena Shibahara Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Baptiste will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Shibahara will win (votes: 12 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shibahara: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Baptiste is ranked WTA: 97. Shibahara is ranked WTA: 148.

Baptiste is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Shibahara is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Shibahara could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Baptiste will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Shibahara to win the game is with odds 2.26.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Ena Shibahara - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.33%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hailey Baptiste
WTA Doha
07.02.25	Rebeka Masarova - Hailey Baptiste	Baptiste H. retired ✺
WTA Abu Dhabi
01.02.25	Wakana Sonobe - Hailey Baptiste	2:0 ✺
WTA Singapore
30.01.25	Hailey Baptiste - Kimberly Birrell	1:2 ✺
27.01.25	Renata Zarazua - Hailey Baptiste	1:2 ✺
WTA Australian Open
12.01.25	Laura Siegemund - Hailey Baptiste	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 ?LLWL
- Ena Shibahara
WTA Austin
28.02.25	Ena Shibahara - Ajla Tomljanovic	1:2 ✺
26.02.25	Kimberly Birrell - Ena Shibahara	1:2 ✺
25.02.25	Kaja Juvan - Ena Shibahara	1:2 ✺
23.02.25	Viktorija Golubic - Ena Shibahara	0:2 ✺
23.02.25	Lauren Davis - Ena Shibahara	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWWWW

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