Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Evansville, IN (USA), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 July 2024, Thursday


	Hanna Chang		Hiroko Kuwata

	1	2
	1.25	3.5
	1.24	3.5
	1.26	3.54
	1.25	3.59	Watch
	1.25	3.75
	1.23	3.86
	1.24	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.41)	3.61 ↑ (2.75)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hanna Chang
74.3%

Hiroko Kuwata
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.1%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.3%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hanna Chang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hanna Chang's performance.

Hiroko Kuwata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hiroko Kuwata might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hanna Chang than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hanna Chang that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hiroko Kuwata than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hiroko Kuwata could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hanna Chang - Hiroko Kuwata Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Chang is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Kuwata is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kuwata could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Chang will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hanna Chang
ITF Tournaments
17.07.24	Hanna Chang - Alicia Herrero Linana	2:0 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
25.06.24	Hanna Chang - Dalma Galfi	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
06.06.24	Hanna Chang - Rina Saigo	Chang H. retired ✺
05.06.24	Hanna Chang - Gabriella Da Silva Fick	2:1 ✺
01.06.24	Petra Hule - Hanna Chang	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WL?WW
- Hiroko Kuwata
ITF Tournaments
17.07.24	Hiroko Kuwata - Alexis Nguyen	2:0 ✺
09.07.24	Anna Sinclair Rogers - Hiroko Kuwata	2:0 ✺
21.06.24	Victoria Hu - Hiroko Kuwata	2:1 ✺
20.06.24	Hiroko Kuwata - Haley Giavara	2:0 ✺
19.06.24	Paris Corley - Hiroko Kuwata	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLLWW

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