Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Queretaro, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 October 2025, Monday


	Hanna Chang		Yuki Naito

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.63	2.31
	2.24	1.59	Watch
	1.63	2.21	Watch
	1.85	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.83)	2.01 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hanna Chang
52.7%

Yuki Naito
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

50.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hanna Chang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Yuki Naito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hanna Chang than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yuki Naito than the current prediction. (+3%)

Hanna Chang - Yuki Naito Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Chang is ranked WTA: 249. Naito is ranked WTA: 530.

Chang has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Naito is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Naito may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hanna Chang
ATP Challenger
14.10.25	Hanna Chang - Cadence Brace	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
07.10.25	Ayana Akli - Hanna Chang	2:1 ✺
22.09.25	Saki Imamura - Hanna Chang	2:0 ✺
WTA Seoul
12.09.25	Hanna Chang - Katie Volynets	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.09.25	Veronika Erjavec - Hanna Chang	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Yuki Naito
ITF Tournaments
09.10.25	Katharina Hobgarski - Yuki Naito	2:0 ✺
08.10.25	Yuki Naito - Katerina Tsygourova	2:1 ✺
01.10.25	Anna Petkovic - Yuki Naito	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.09.25	Yuki Naito - Diletta Cherubini	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.09.25	Yuhan Wang - Yuki Naito	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWLLL

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