Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W100 Lisboa, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 26 September 2025, Friday


	Hanne Van De Winkel		Simona Waltert

	1	2
			Watch
	2.84	1.37	Watch
	3.02	1.36
	2.83	1.36	Watch
	2.81	1.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.43)	1.37 ↓ (1.47)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hanne Van De Winkel
32.3%

Simona Waltert
67.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

64.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hanne Van De Winkel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hanne Van De Winkel's form might have worsened.

Simona Waltert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Simona Waltert's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hanne Van De Winkel than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Simona Waltert than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Hanne Van De Winkel - Simona Waltert Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Van De Winkel (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Van De Winkel (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Van De Winkel is ranked WTA: 162. Waltert is ranked WTA: 116.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Waltert may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Waltert will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Van De Winkel won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hanne Van De Winkel
ITF Tournaments
25.09.25	Hanne Van De Winkel - Alize Lim	Lim A. retired ✺
23.09.25	Hanne Van De Winkel - Sada Nahimana	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.09.25	Ekaterine Gorgodze - Hanne Van De Winkel	2:1 ✺
12.09.25	Renata Jamrichova - Hanne Van De Winkel	2:0 ✺
11.09.25	Anastasiya Soboleva - Hanne Van De Winkel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 ?WLLW
- Simona Waltert
ITF Tournaments
25.09.25	Angelina Voloshchuk - Simona Waltert	0:2 ✺
23.09.25	Maria Martinez Vaquero - Simona Waltert	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.09.25	Anouk Koevermans - Simona Waltert	Canceled ✺
14.09.25	Simona Waltert - Kaja Juvan	0:2 ✺
13.09.25	Simona Waltert - Renata Jamrichova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WW?LW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
01.05.25	Hanne Van De Winkel - Simona Waltert	0:2

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