Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Guangzhou 2 - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday


	Hanyi Liu		Yaroslav Demin

	1	2
			Watch
	3.10	1.30
	2.95	1.35
	3.33	1.36
	3.05	1.33	Watch
	3.20	1.34
	2.97	1.34	Watch
	3.05	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↑ (2.88)	1.34 (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hanyi Liu
30.2%

Yaroslav Demin
69.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

62.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hanyi Liu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Yaroslav Demin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hanyi Liu than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hanyi Liu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yaroslav Demin than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yaroslav Demin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hanyi Liu - Yaroslav Demin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Liu is ranked ATP: 912. Demin is ranked ATP: 669.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Demin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Demin is the team to beat.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hanyi Liu
ATP Challenger
07.09.26	Denis Yevseyev - Hanyi Liu	2:0 ✺
06.09.26	Ren Nakamura - Hanyi Liu	0:2 ✺
03.09.26	Fajing Sun - Hanyi Liu	2:0 ✺
31.08.26	Hanyi Liu - Kaichi Uchida	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.08.26	Chase Ferguson - Hanyi Liu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLWL
- Yaroslav Demin
ITF Tournaments
04.09.26	Jack Loge - Yaroslav Demin	2:0 ✺
03.09.26	Niklas Schell - Yaroslav Demin	0:2 ✺
02.09.26	Yassine Smiej - Yaroslav Demin	0:2 ✺
27.08.26	Alexander Ritschard - Yaroslav Demin	2:1 ✺
26.08.26	Yaroslav Demin - Tristan McCormick	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWLW

Hanyi Liu - Yaroslav Demin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide