Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: SAN LUIS POTOSI (MEXICO) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - FINAL

Date: 25 March 2024, Monday


	Harmony Tan		Nuria Brancaccio

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.95	1.78
	1.95	1.75	Watch
	1.99	1.79
	1.99	1.79
	1.91	1.8
	1.94	1.8	Watch
	1.9	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.75)	1.79 ↓ (2.02)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Harmony Tan
48.1%

Nuria Brancaccio
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Harmony Tan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Harmony Tan's form might have worsened.

Nuria Brancaccio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nuria Brancaccio's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harmony Tan than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Harmony Tan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nuria Brancaccio than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nuria Brancaccio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Harmony Tan - Nuria Brancaccio Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Brancaccio will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tan in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Brancaccio is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Brancaccio could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Our prediction for today's Tan to win the game is with odds 1.75.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harmony Tan
ITF Tournaments
03.03.24	Audrey Albie - Harmony Tan	0:2 ✺
02.03.24	Anastasia Tikhonova - Harmony Tan	1:2 ✺
01.03.24	Amandine Monnot - Harmony Tan	0:2 ✺
29.02.24	Harmony Tan - Celine Naef	2:1 ✺
28.02.24	Harmony Tan - Tatiana Prozorova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WWWWW
- Nuria Brancaccio
ITF Tournaments
15.03.24	Nuria Brancaccio - Cristina Dinu	2:0 ✺
14.03.24	Tena Lukas - Nuria Brancaccio	1:2 ✺
13.03.24	Nefisa Berberovic - Nuria Brancaccio	0:2 ✺
22.02.24	Alice Rame - Nuria Brancaccio	2:1 ✺
20.02.24	Lisa Pigato - Nuria Brancaccio	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWLW

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