Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: St. Tropez, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday


	Harold Mayot		Murphy Cassone

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.53	2.35
	1.55	2.31
	1.56	2.31	Watch
	1.54	2.45
	1.54	2.32	Watch
	1.55	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.62)	2.33 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Harold Mayot
60.1%

Murphy Cassone
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Harold Mayot has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Murphy Cassone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

The ML Model estimate for Harold Mayot aligns with the current prediction.

The ML Model estimate for Murphy Cassone aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Harold Mayot - Murphy Cassone Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Mayot will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Cassone will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mayot: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mayot (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Mayot is ranked ATP: 237., and Cassone is ranked ATP: 318..

Mayot has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Cassone is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Cassone may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Mayot has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Murphy Cassone - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 42.86%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harold Mayot
ATP Challenger
25.09.26	Harold Mayot - Jesper De Jong	2:1 ✺
24.09.26	Edas Butvilas - Harold Mayot	0:2 ✺
22.09.26	Harold Mayot - Justin Boulais	2:1 ✺
22.09.26	Harold Mayot - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	Canceled ✺
20.09.26	Harold Mayot - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWW?L
- Murphy Cassone
ATP Challenger
25.09.26	Murphy Cassone - Daniel Masur	2:1 ✺
24.09.26	Billy Harris - Murphy Cassone	0:2 ✺
23.09.26	Murphy Cassone - Clement Tabur	2:1 ✺
21.09.26	Murphy Cassone - Patrick Zahraj	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	Murphy Cassone - Hugo Car	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
16.09.26	Harold Mayot - Murphy Cassone	Mayot H. win

Harold Mayot - Murphy Cassone: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide